Online Poker players rational confirms Harvard Study

TourneyBlog Staff - 21 Apr 2009

Results from first ever epidemiological study of actual internet poker gaming behavior released

The results from the first ever epidemiological analysis of the actual gaming behavior evidenced by a large sample of 3,445 online poker players over the span of 2 years are about to be published.

The study was conducted by the Division on Addictions, Cambridge Health Alliance, a Harvard Medical School teaching affiliate.

The current research, which analyzes the behavior of Internet poker players over
the course of two years, is the world’s largest longitudinal and the first ever
epidemiological study of its kind.

Individuals exhibit rational behavior

“In this research we provide additional evidence in support of our previous research showing that most subscribers who gamble on the Internet do so moderately. In fact, correlation analyses indicated that as Percent Lost increased, Duration, Total Gambling Sessions, and Total Amount Wagered all decreased, suggesting that individuals moderated their behavior based on their wins and their losses – exhibiting “rational” betting behavior.” says Howard Shaffer, PH.D., Associate Professor, Harvard Medical School

Study Details

  • The average age of the cohort (sample) was 27.9 years and almost 95%
    were male. The typical poker player was an active poker player for a
    median duration of six and a half months and participated in a median of
    one poker session every three days. The median Euros per session
    gambled was €13 and the median cost of playing poker was €1.80 per
    session.
  • The gaming behaviors of the most involved poker players show that this
    group, representing 5% of all players, was active for a duration of 18.5
    months and participated in ten sessions per week.
  • This 5% subgroup had a smaller percentage lost than the sample majority,
    suggesting that skill is a factor in poker play and that players are able to
    improve their performance compared with chance.
  • When examining the most involved poker players who devoted more time
    and money to this activity, the study found that like the rest of the sample,
    they reduced Euros per session and reduced Total Wagered as Percent Loss
    increased.

Bwin, a European gaming company that sponsored the research told Tourneyblog that their aim was to use the reseach to promote responsible gaming:

“In our intention to replace speculation with scientific evidence, this study takes us
a big step closer towards understanding the behavior of online poker players.
Ultimately we are interested in developing algorithms capable of identifying
behavioral patterns or identifying risk patterns associated with disordered
gaming.” says Manfred Bodner, CEO of bwin.




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